by
Nov 03, 2020
Widely regarded as the
greatest investment vehicle of the last decade, Bitcoin has seen a
rollercoaster ride in 2017 alone, going from $777 to $17,000.
Some experts predicted
that cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin would replace paper money in the next ten
years. Others believe this prediction is unrealistic due to the slow adoption
of Bitcoin among mainstream consumers. But, both sides agree that digital
currency will influence the flat currency systems of the world in the future.
Will Bitcoin become the
cash of the future? To find out, first, we need to understand how Bitcoin
works.
What makes Bitcoin so
valuable is that there is a limited amount in existence. There will only ever
be 21 million Bitcoins in the world, and unlike normal fiat currencies, you
can't just print more of them if there is a shortage.
Bitcoin runs on a
proof-of-work protocol, commonly known as blockchain. To create Bitcoin, you
have to ‘mine’ it using computer processing power, solving complex algorithms
on the Bitcoin network. Once solved, you are rewarded with Bitcoin as payment
for the ‘mining’ you have done. Unfortunately, the reward you get for mining
has decreased dramatically every quarter since Bitcoin's inception, due to
various reasons such as transaction volumes and mining competition. This means
that for most people the only viable way to obtain Bitcoin is to buy it on an
exchange. At the current price levels, is that a risk worth taking?
Many naysayers believe
that Bitcoin is simply a bubble waiting to implode. Some cryptocurrency
experts like Duke Randal thinks the asset is overvalued, "I would compare
this to many supply and demand bubbles in histories such as Dutch Tulip Mania
and the dot-com bubble of the late 90s. Prices are purely speculation based,
and when you look at Bitcoin's functionality as an actual currency, it is
almost embarrassing".
Bitcoin was originally
created to take power away from our financial systems and put people in control
of their own money, enabling fast peer-to-peer transactions, cutting out the
middleman and their exorbitant fees. However, it is currently one of the
slowest cryptocurrencies on the market; its transaction speed is four times
slower than the fifth biggest cryptocurrency and its nearest competitor for
payment solutions Litecoin.
Other similar
cryptocurrencies such as Monero makes transactions even quicker, boasting an
average block time of just two minutes, a fifth of the time Bitcoin can do it
in, and that's without anonymity. The world's second-biggest cryptocurrency,
Ethereum, already has a higher transaction volume than Bitcoin despite being
valued at only $676 per Ether compared to Bitcoin's $16,726 per Bitcoin.
So Why Is Bitcoin's
Value so High?
“It all goes back to the
same supply and demand economics", says Randall. “Due to Bitcoin’s
limited availability, and its recent surge in price, it has attracted a lot of
media attention, this combined with the launch of Bitcoin futures which many
see as the first sign Bitcoin is being accepted by the mass market, has
resulted in a lot of people jumping on the bandwagon for financial gain. Like
any asset, when there is a higher demand to buy than to sell, the price goes
up. This is bad because these new investors are entering the market without
understanding blockchain and the underlying principles of these currencies
meaning they are likely to get burnt".
One thing to consider
about Bitcoin is its extreme volatility. Just in past year alone, it has been
known to swing up or down thousands of dollars within hours, which if you are
not used to nor expecting it, causes less experienced investors to panic sell,
resulting in a loss.
This is yet another
reason Bitcoin will struggle to be adopted as a form of payment. The Bitcoin
price can move substantially between the time vendors accept Bitcoin from
customers and sell it on to exchanges for their local currency. This erratic
movement can wipe out their entire profitability. Will this instability go
away anytime soon? It is unlikely because Bitcoin is a relatively new asset
class. While the awareness is increasing, only a very small percentage of the
world's population currently holds Bitcoin. Until it becomes a more widely
distributed asset, and its liquidity improves significantly, the volatility is
not going to change.
So, if Bitcoin Is
Useless as A Currency, What Are Its Practical Applications?
Many believe Bitcoin has
moved on from being a viable form of payment to become a vehicle for storing
value. Bitcoin is akin to ‘digital gold’ and will simply be used as a
benchmark for other cryptocurrencies and blockchain projects to be measured
against and traded for. In recent months, there have been stories of people
in developing countries such as Zimbabwe buying Bitcoin in order to hold on
to what wealth they have, rather than see their wealth decline under the
recklessness of its own central banking system.
Regardless, predictions
that digital currency will completely replace printed money within the decade
looks to be a bit too ambitious. Despite digital currency slowly growing in
popularity, there still remains certain psychological security in a currency
held in one's hand. Moreover, fears of hacking, viruses, and other attacks on
the entire financial foundation of a nation via purely digital means will
likely make most nations slow to adopt such a form of currency.
Who knows what the price of these cryptocurrencies will be ten or even twenty years from now? One thing is certain though, we better strap ourselves in as the future is going to be changing dramatically with Bitcoin.
Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement